Understanding Today’s Energy Market

What the Middle East Conflict Means for your business

Expert insights into rising wholesale gas and electricity prices — and how your organisation can respond with confidence.

Global energy markets are currently experiencing heightened volatility following recent geopolitical developments in the Middle East.

While wholesale gas and electricity prices have risen sharply in the short term, the broader market signals a more nuanced outlook — one that requires careful interpretation and strategic planning.

At ARO, we provide businesses with clear, data-driven insights to help navigate uncertainty and make informed energy decisions.

What’s driving the market?

Energy markets have seen notable movement in recent weeks, driven primarily by short-term geopolitical factors. While volatility has increased, the overall market outlook remains more balanced than during previous crises.

  • Short-term prices are rising with 12-month wholesale contracts increasingly significantly since February 2026
  • Longer-term pricing remains more stable, as we see 2–3 year contracts continuing to sit below recent historical averages
  • Current conditions are not yet at peak historical crisis levels, so despite recent increases, prices remain well below those seen during the 2022 energy crisis

What this means for your organisation & how can ARO Support

  • Increased energy costs in the near term
  • Greater uncertainty around contract timing
  • Increased importance of procurement strategy
  • Potential exposure to further price spikes depending on geopolitical developments

Understanding these dynamics is critical for protecting your business from unnecessary cost risk.

Insight-led. Risk-managed. Business Ready. That’s the ARO standard.

Energy Visibility & Data Driven Control

POD Management Software

POD Management Software

Our POD platform provides real-time insights into energy consumption, centralising data across sites to identify inefficiencies, and support informed decision-making.

Energy Optimisation & Cost Reduction

Procurement Strategies

Procurement Strategies

Through audits, monitoring, and optimisation strategies, we help reduce waste, validate billing accuracy, and uncover cost-saving opportunities across your energy estate.

Ongoing Management & Strategic Support

Expert guidance

Expert guidance

Our managed services combine technology with expert guidance, delivering continuous monitoring, reporting, and tailored strategies to improve performance.

The Energy Market Update

Our latest report explores key strategies including:

  • Third consecutive week of gas and power gains

  • Storage improving, but geopolitical risks dominating

  • Iran sanctions driving significant market uncertainty

Get detailed analysis, charts, and expert recommendations to help you navigate current market conditions.

Speak to our team today to find the right energy management and procurement solution for your business.

Call: 0333 240 9880

Disclaimer

This report is based on market conditions at the time of publication and is intended for informational purposes only. Energy markets are inherently volatile, and no guarantee is provided regarding accuracy or future outcomes.